Game Result Predictions
Friday, March 23
Friday, March 23
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Arkansas (48-21) | 6 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 5 | -1.0 | 56% | ✔ | |
Florida (49-21) | 3 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 4 | +1.0 | 44% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
South Carolina (37-26) | 5 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 4 | +0.5 | 47% | ✔ | |
Georgia (39-21) | 7 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -0.5 | 53% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Auburn (43-23) | 4 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | ✘ | 6 | -0.5 | 55% | ✘ | |
Kentucky (34-22) | 5 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 5 | +0.5 | 45% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Mississippi State (39-29) | 1 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 6 | -2.5 | 65% | ✘ | |
Missouri (34-22) | 4 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | 3 | +2.5 | 35% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Alabama (27-29) | 4 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 4 | +1.5 | 40% | ✔ | |
Tennessee (29-27) | 5 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -1.5 | 60% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Ole Miss (48-17) | 6 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 5 | -1.0 | 58% | ✘ | |
Texas A&M (40-22) | 7 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 4 | +1.0 | 42% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
LSU (39-27) | 2 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 4 | +0.5 | 47% | ✔ | |
Vanderbilt (35-27) | 4 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | 5 | -0.5 | 53% |
Friday, March 23 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 57%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 57%
Overall Results (851 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 70%.